Judgment Under Uncertainty

This research sub-field explores how individuals make judgments about the frequency and probability of events, often under conditions of uncertainty. It incorporates psychological heuristics, such as the availability heuristic, and quantitative models to better understand decision-making processes and cognitive biases related to probability assessment.

probability

judgment

cognitive biases

heuristics

decision making

uncertainty

frequency

probabilistic modeling

922,963 papers

Parent topic: Data Science and Technologies

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Sub-topics

Frequency and Probability Judgments

This research cluster focuses on methodologies for assessing frequency and probability in various contexts, primarily through heuristics and modeling techniques. It encompasses the study of motifs in data sequences, event occurrence analysis, and the statistical distribution of commonness and rarity across different domains.

877633 papers

Papers Over Time

1900192019401960198020002020

Top Papers

Availability: A Heuristic For Judging Frequency And Probability

1973 · 6,322 citations

The Byzantine Generals Problem

1982 · 3,959 citations

FIMO: Scanning For Occurrences Of A Given Motif

2011 · 3,687 citations

Probabilistic Topic Models

2012 · 3,640 citations

Basic Objects In Natural Categories

1976 · 3,549 citations

Family Resemblances: Studies In The Internal Structure Of Categories

1975 · 3,535 citations

Modelling Extremal Events

1997 · 3,229 citations

Frequency Of Earthquakes In California*

1944 · 3,070 citations

Naming Materials In The Magma/Igneous Rock System

1994 · 2,963 citations

The Interpretation Of Protein Structures: Estimation Of Static Accessibility

1971 · 2,570 citations

The Theory Of Event Coding (TEC): A Framework For Perception And Action Planning

2001 · 2,483 citations

Probable Inference, The Law Of Succession, And Statistical Inference

1927 · 2,432 citations

Causal Inference Without Balance Checking: Coarsened Exact Matching

2012 · 2,372 citations

Cosmological Event Horizons, Thermodynamics, And Particle Creation

1977 · 2,308 citations

Naming And Necessity

1972 · 2,198 citations

Blooms Like It Hot

2008 · 2,177 citations

Fake News Detection On Social Media

2017 · 1,939 citations

Natural Categories

1973 · 1,879 citations

2009 · 1,867 citations

Recognizing: The Judgment Of Previous Occurrence.

1980 · 1,772 citations